ApeCoin (APE) has undergone a pointy restoration after falling to its lowest stage in two months. However its robust correlation with Bitcoin (BTC) and U.S. equities amid macro dangers suggests extra losses could possibly be in retailer.
APE rebounds after 80% losses in two weeks
APE rebounded by almost 45% to $7.30 on Might 12. The upside retracement transfer got here after APE dropped circa 81% to $5 on Might 11, from its report excessive close to $27.50, established on April 28.
The seesaw value motion mirrored comparable unstable strikes elsewhere within the crypto market, led by the chaos round TerraUSD (UST) — an “algorithmic stablecoin” whose worth plunged to $0.23 earlier this week, and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish response to rising inflation.
APE/USD versus USTUSD. Supply: TradingView
In the meantime, the correlation coefficient between ApeCoin and Bitcoin is now round 0.90, suggesting that it is buying and selling almost in tandem with BTC, which is testing multi-year lows.
ApeCoin and Bitcoin every day correlation. Supply: TradingView
Useless cat bounce?
ApeCoin’s rebound occurred close to what seems to be a robust technical assist stage.
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Notably, APE is holding above $5.82, which coincides with the 0.786 Fib line of the Fibonacci retracement graph sketched from the $0.97-swing low to the $23.65-swing excessive. In the meantime, the token’s every day relative power index’s studying is simply above its “oversold” threshold stage of 30 — a purchase sign.
APE/USD every day value chart. Supply: TradingView
Subsequently, a rebound transfer from the $5.82-support might have APE check $9.63 (the 0.618 Fib line) as its near-term upside goal.
Conversely, an prolonged breakdown under the assist would danger crashing the APE/USD pair into unchartered value territory, confirming that its retracement transfer was a mere useless cat bounce.
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